Earthquake Prediction in Indiaभूकंप आने की संभावना कब है
The Indian subcontinent is under a tectonic shift, and a seismologist from the University of Colorado has predicted that four large earthquakes are in the works. These quakes will have a varying intensity, depending on the amount of stress along the plate boundary. The region has experienced a number of high-magnitude quakes in recent years, and the risk of several megaquakes in the future is high.
Currently, the United States Geological Survey cannot predict earthquakes with any degree of certainty. However, a new model based on Vedic Astrology and the Brihat Samhita by Varaha Mihira combines scientific research with traditional Indian knowledge to predict earthquakes. This innovative model combines earthquake statistics with geomorphology and magnetic variations to determine the most likely dates for a major quake in a region.
हिमालयी क्षेत्र बड़े भूकंपों के लिए विशेष रूप से संवेदनशील है। अध्ययन के अनुसार, हिमाचल प्रदेश में 8.0 या इससे अधिक तीव्रता का भूकंप निकट भविष्य में इस क्षेत्र में आ सकता है। इस खोज का भूकंप की भविष्यवाणी, नियोजन और बड़े भूकंपों के स्रोत की उत्पत्ति को समझने के लिए प्रमुख प्रभाव हो सकते हैं। यह भूकंप प्रतिरोधी समुदायों के निर्माण का मुद्दा भी उठाता है। इसके अलावा, अध्ययन हिमालय चाप के साथ उच्च घनत्व वाले क्षेत्रों के लिए भूकंप पूर्व चेतावनी प्रणाली की आवश्यकता को इंगित करता है।
The Himalayan region is particularly vulnerable to large earthquakes. According to the study, an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater in Himachal Pradesh could strike the area in the near future. This finding could have major implications for earthquake prediction, planning, and understanding the source genesis of great earthquakes. It also raises the issue of building earthquake-resistant communities. In addition, the study indicates the need for earthquake early warning systems for high-density areas along the Himalayan arc.
The study results were the first comprehensive predictions of seismic activity in this area based on GPS measurements. They pinpointed a region between the Pir Panjal Range and the Kashmir Valley, which could potentially generate a megaquake. The researchers believe this could be a result of a buildup of strain within this region.
अध्ययन में यह भी पाया गया कि भूकंप की पूर्व चेतावनी प्रणाली का उपयोग उन नागरिकों की मदद कर सकता है जो भूकंप के केंद्र से बहुत दूर हैं। तकनीक लोगों को वास्तविक समय में इन घटनाओं पर प्रतिक्रिया करने में सक्षम बनाती है। यह ध्यान रखना महत्वपूर्ण है कि भूकंप की लहरें 11,000 किलोमीटर प्रति घंटे से अधिक की गति से यात्रा करती हैं, जो कि प्रतिक्रिया करने के लिए आवश्यक समय से कहीं अधिक तेज है। इस तकनीक से भूकंप की पूर्व चेतावनी प्रणाली उपयोगकर्ताओं को अलर्ट भेज सकती है ताकि वे सुरक्षित रूप से निकल सकें।
The study also found that the use of earthquake early warning systems can help citizens who are far away from the epicenter of an earthquake. The technology enables people to react to these events in real time. It is important to note that earthquake waves travel at over 11,000 kph, which is far faster than the time required to react. With this technology, earthquake early warning systems can send alerts to users so that they can evacuate safely.
In the past month, at least ten low-to-moderate-intensity tremors have shaken the Delhi-NCR region. Top geologists have warned that a large earthquake could strike this region within the next few months. While no one can predict the exact time, location, or magnitude of an earthquake, they do know that it is a consistent trend in this region.
Earlier attempts to predict earthquakes rely largely on geophysical methods like seismology and ground deformation. But new technologies have emerged in recent years that involve the study of chemical and electrical compositional data. This data can also be used to identify precursors of seismic activity. The resulting geophysical anomalies can tell us which regions are most vulnerable to large earthquakes.